Monday, May 12, 2014

Exit Polls have been wrong in the past

Lok Sabha polls: Can the Exit Polls get it right in 2014? 

Exit polls in India are notorious for getting it wrong. Recent sting operations showing some pollsters allegedly offering to fix a poll for a certain candidate or party haven't helped their credibility either.

In 2004 and 2009, pollsters underestimated Congress seats, and overestimated BJP seats. Pollsters also failed to predict seats that were won by parties not part of the two major coalitions. In 2004, they underestimated gains by these parties while in 2009, they overestimated them.


Lok Sabha polls: Can the Exit Polls get it right in 2014?



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